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Smart Home Picks: NFL Week 14

Last Week: 3-3

Season Record: 80-74-6

Smart Home Fix Lock of the Week:

Bears + 6 at Bengals (Sunday 1:00)

Cincinnati covered Monday night’s game against Pittsburgh but let a second-half, 10-point lead slip away. I’m not sure how anybody can trust this team.

Expect Chicago to give Cincy a steady diet of runs and control the time of possession.

Come Fly with Me:

Broncos +1 vs. Jets (Sunday 4:05)

Denver… Home… Underdogs… to the JETS?!

Chiefs -4 vs. Raiders (Sunday 1:00)

For the first time in nearly a month, we saw Tyreek Hill surge last week. The KC team, which beat New England week one, desperately needs this conference win to validate its standing in the AFC West.

Chiefs vs. Raiders under 47.5 (Sunday 1:00)

Two teams that entered the season with high expectations find themselves both at 6-6. Alex Smith is in his usual late-season slump. He’s been in the League since 2005 and, for his career, sees a -3% decline in passing percentage and -15 yards per game slip in December games versus September. And while 3% may only represent one (in)completion per game, it only takes one for Hill to score a TD.

Steelers vs. Ravens over 43.5 (Sunday 8:30)

Joe Flacco may be elite in December. He’s posted a career 20-14 record, which only becomes more impressive when you weigh it against a 16-22 October score. Baltimore has a habit of playing well late. Pittsburgh comes off a short week and without one of its best defensive players, Ryan Shazier.

Cowboys vs. Giants over 41.5 (Sunday 1:00)

Eli will come out ready and, more importantly, after a week where he didn’t get planted into the ground by New York’s inept offensive line. Dallas, meanwhile, is starting to figure out how offense works without Elliott.

Falcons +1 vs. Saints (Thursday 8:25)

Line coming down at a fast clip. Started New Orleans -4. First game of the weekend. Get it fast.

Seahawks +3 at Jaguars (Sunday 4:25)

Ok, I understand this is a cross-country game. But Seattle will stay on the East Coast after its game at Philly and be adjusted. This Seahawks team still gets no respect, even after beating the League’s best team.

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