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Smart Home Picks: College Football Week 10

Last Week: 10-6

Season Record: 58-46-4

Smart Home Fix Locks of the Week (7-4):

SMU +14.5 vs. UCF

Had this one on the books since last week. High scoring game, over/under at 75.0. Ride the Mustangs.

Florida State -5 vs. Syracuse

Not a lot of confidence around this Florida State team right now, I get that. In fact, so little confidence, they’ve considered rescheduling a canceled game to help their bowl eligibility status.

But Jimbo Fisher is NOT getting fired, the money is far too great. Florida State players will try to make something for themselves against a weak conference opponent.

Come Fly with Me:

TCU -7 vs. Texas

So TCU loses a game, drops out of the College Football Playoff and everyone ignores them? Texas has covered every game its played since losing the season opener to Maryland. Want to discuss an overvalued team?

The spread on this ballgame, AT TCU MIND YOU, should be closer to -10.5 Frogs.

Colorado State -3 @ Wyoming

Come for Mike Bobo, stay for the money. High scoring offense that posted the most points on Alabama this season runs away from Wyoming late.

Boise State -22 vs. Nevada

One of the most consistent teams to pick, Boise State. Since 2003 (enough data for you?) only 11 teams have covered at a better percentage than Boise. The Broncos are 99-85-1 against the spread going back a decade and a half.

UVA +10 vs. Georgia Tech

Low scoring, time consuming, grinder of a game. Just how Georgia Tech likes it. But their streak of covering games ends at seven straight.

West Virginia -2.5 vs. Iowa State

Breaking two of my very favorite rules this week. Iowa State has treated me so well over the years. But they’ve grown too big for their own name. Time to cut the team loose…

West Virginia played Oklahoma State closer than the final score indicates. Actually a well-coached team even with the irascible Iowa-born Dana Holgersen. Take advantage of the overvalued team.

Who Cares… We’re Rich!

Colorado +3.5 @ Arizona State

Indiana +12.5 vs. Wisconsin

Decided to break a personal rule, and go against Wisconsin.

Maryland -2.5 @ Rutgers

Don’t watch this disaster.

Hawaii +7.5 @ UNLV

Seriously, don’t watch this.

Bonus Picks from the League

Broncos +7 @ Eagles

Buccaneers +7 @ Saints

Titans -4.5 vs. Ravens

Cardinals @ 49ers OVER 39.5

Raiders -3 @ Dolplhins

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