MLB Picks And Previews: Thirsty Thursday Edition

MLBDue to time constraints and having to keep buffering the Electric Boogaloo Pandemic Generator, we will shoot right to a couple of valuable plays without wondering if any hidden gems are out there. I don’t see any games or matchups being of more value than these two.

If you’re following along, we started yesterday 7-8 yesterday. And since the Kansas City Royals are gutless tease jobs, we go to a record of 8-9. A perfect 3-0 day was at our fingertips. Yet, the Midwest gang put up zero runs after three innings. They shot up four during the first three, scoring in each. The Royals left five men on base and went 3-for-12 with RISP. The Detroit Tigers never gave up and rallied from a 4-0 deficit to win 5-4. Hats of to them.

Now, we must go to the West Coast for a late night tilt between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants. The Padres are trying to bounce back from a gut-wrenching loss as well. Giants phenom Mike Yastremski, grandson of hall-of-famer Carl, walked things off in dramatic fashion. The outfielder blasted a solo home run into McCovey Cove as the Giants won 7-6 in extras.

San Francisco has shown some grit so far this season, but they are in a bad spot tonight. Dinelson Lamet gets the bump this evening in the Golden City. In his last outing, Lamet went five innings and surrendered just one run. He also struck out eight batters. Lamet holds a 3.09 ERA when facing the Giants. To make matters worse for the Giants, he has an opponent BA of .077 and an OPS of .419 against this lineup. It’s a small sample size (27 PA), but the guy looks sharp and has a good resume versus the division foe.

Kevin Gausman will be getting the nod for San Fran. The veteran pitcher takes a workman-like approach to the game. He was known for giving the Atlanta Braves a lift in their rotation a couple of years ago. But a filler is all you get with the former LSU Tiger. And that’s being kind now. Gausman might be running out of gas. He is 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA since the beginning of 2019.

I like the Padres all around here. But the price for the money line and run line aren’t as striking. Give me the first half and total runs for San Diego. The Padres are 8th in the MLB in runs per game (5.3). They are also 8th in team OPS (.764). The fathers of the West Coast have been keeping the scoreboard operators busy. Out of their six games, the Padres have scored five runs or more five times. With Fernando Tatis, Jr. leading the charge, I think they stay hot here versus Gas Bubble Gausman.

I also think they win the first five innings by a run or more. They should score early and hit often. San Diego is 5th (3.5) in RPG in the first five innings. San Francisco is 25th (1.83) in that category. The Giants are also terrible late in games. They are giving up an average of 2.3 runs during innings 7-9, good for 27th in the MLB.

Reports indicate that San Fran’s lead men, Evan Longoria and Brandon Belt, could be activated off of the IL today. But they won’t have enough to fill Gausman’s tank, especially during their first action of the season. Give me the Padres to jump out to a comfy lead and score a bunch of runs. Let’s go Dinelson! Wax on, wax off. Back over .500, baby.

Padres TT OVER 4.5 (-106), F5 -1/2 (-115)