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MLB Picks and Previews: Humpday Edition


The last edition of my “Picks and Previews” column didn’t do so well. To make matters worse, my Twitter picks got eviscerated the following day. However, good news is prevailing.

After rebooting the Electric Boogaloo Pandemic Baseball Generator, I have seen progress in numbers. My Twitter releases have gone 4-1 since re-configuring the system. This is a sign for a bounce-back performance after going 2-6 between Friday’s article and Saturday’s Twitter picks. And, in the Hump Day edition, there are teams looking for a rebound as well. Here are a few selections and some key aspects for a couple of games on Wednesday’s slate. We will continue to keep the volume down until the generator is operating at full capacity.

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REDS (Gray) ML (-109)

An exciting matchup takes place tonight, as divisional foes face off at 6:40 p.m. EST. The Cincinnati Reds try to get back in the series after coming up just short against the Chicago Cubs two games in a row. This may be the Red’s best opportunity to capitalize in the series. The Cubs have scored 16 runs in the first two games. The Reds have scored 12.

Tonight’s tilt will likely see a significant drop in offensive production. Chicago pitcher Kyle Hendricks is coming off of a brilliant 2020 debut, where he pitched a complete game shutout. He the full nine, striking out nine batters and surrendering just three hits. However, the veteran is not so great at Great American Ballpark. Hendricks holds a 2-3 record and a 6.00 ERA at the riverside stadium. He also has an opponent BA of .279 and .823 OPS versus the Cincy lineup. Those are among the worst numbers against any single opponent he has faced in his 7-year career.

Hendrick’s opponent will be Sonny Gray. A former Chicago draft selection (2008), Gray has molded himself into a very efficient pitcher after a couple of stops (Oakland, NYY). The two-time All-star has a career record of 71-60 and a 3.52 ERA. He is coming off of a stellar outing as well. Gray went six innings while striking out nine batters against the Detroit Tigers on Opening Day. He surrendered just three hits and one run.

Unlike Hendricks, Gray is at his best against the Cubs and at GABP. He holds a 2.83 ERA versus Chicago. This stat is preceded by gray’s astounding .129 opp BA and .444 OPS versus the Cubs current lineup. Cincy has lost four straight. Their best remedy is the Smyrna, TN native. His name may be an oxymoron, but Sonny Gray will bring a brighter outlook for the Reds. He is 9-4 at GABP. This is not a bad price at all, even against the explosive Cubs. Also, the Reds are averaging 2.6 RPG in innings 7-9. That should balance things if Gray just goes six.

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KC (Duffy) +116, KC OVER 4.5 total runs (-106)

Another team looking to bounce back is the Kansas City Royals. After defeating the Detroit Tigers Monday night (and punching a winning ticket for the good guys), the Royals are looking to avenge a disappointing 4-3 loss to their division foe.

First of all, both teams used a bevy of arms in last night’s game. KC used seven pitchers, DET used six. Runs could come in bunches tonight. At a price of -106, the Royals can undoubtedly get to 5 runs. They may even do it against Boyd alone. The Detroit pitcher is terrible versus KC. He has a 6.00 ERA against the Royals in his last five outings. Boyd also holds an opponent BA of .321 and an OPS of .896 when facing this Kansas City lineup. More particularly, lead-off hitter Whit Merrifield has a career OPS of 1.292 against Boyd. The Royals All-Star from 2019 is batting .368 so far this season, with an OPS a shade under that aforementioned mark (1.218).

The edge here goes to Duffy. He is 5-3 at Comerica Park. Despite some skewed numbers, Duffy is also firm against this Tigers’ lineup. He has a commendable .254 opp BA and .686 OPS versus the current Detroit bats.

What isn’t respectable is Rhea Seehorn NOT getting an Emmy nomination. Kim Wexler, this is for you and your favorite team! Royals by a million. S’all good man.

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