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College Football Picks And Previews: The Home Stretch

Apr 16, 2016; Athens, GA, USA; Georgia Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart coaches during the first half of the spring game at Sanford Stadium. Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

We are certainly coming down the home stretch of this wild and wacky college football season. While games continue to be canceled, players and teams are opting out of potential opportunities to extend their season.

Here at Fanrun, there is no alternative. We won’t give up. We will keep churning out predictions and previews to our loyal readers.

With that said, here is a featured play of the day followed by a couple of other picks.

Missouri vs. Georgia

Columbia, MO

Noon, EST

The Georgia Bulldogs travel to CoMo to finish the season. Kirby Smart’s crew really has nothing to play for except a little pride and getting quarterback JT Daniels more acclimated.

The Missouri Tigers, on the other hand, have a ton of momentum going their way. Eli Drinkwitz has been impressive in his first season as an SEC head coach. Missouri (5-3) is a Tennessee loss away from being tied with the Dawgs. But the disappointing defeat on Rocky Top seems like eons ago for Drink and the bunch. The Tigers traveled to Knoxville for their second game of the season not knowing what their identity is or who the quarterback should be. They now have those answers.

A Look at the Numbers

For betting purposes, this game is pretty simple. Georgia has under-performed while Missouri has exceeded expectations. The Tigers are 4-1 at home and haven’t lost against the spread at Faurot Field this year.

Meanwhile, Georgia is 1-4 against the spread in that time frame as part of an overall ATS record of 3-5.

Expect quarterback Connor Bazelak to keep the Drink-and-dunk in tact. The redshirt freshman has been efficient since finding his role. Bazelak’s numbers may not jump out off the stat sheet, but Mizzou’s general has been very efficient. Bazelak has thrown for over 2,000 yards while completing 69.4 percent of his passes.

The quarterback will also have a healthy rushing attack at his disposal. Larry Roundtree III and Tyler Badie will be the primary weapons for the Tigers. Roundtree is a senior back who has rushed for over 700 yards in each of his campaigns. He leads Missouri with 835 on the ground to go along with 11 touchdowns.

Badie is a scat back who does it all. The junior has 70 touches going for 7.9 a pop. He has reached pay dirt six times.

Georgia is much like Mizzou in the sense that they also experienced a lull at the quarterback position. Except their trial was a bit longer than the Tigers’.

Daniels has led the charge for the Buldogs the past two games. In short time, the transfer from USC has thrown for 540 yards and six touchdowns. The redshirt sophomore only has one interception despite 54 attempts.

What Happens

Georgia has found a groove with Daniels. The question is how much fight is in the Dawg?

With the transfer firing on all cylinders, the Tigers will have their hands full keeping up. If the Georgia offense stays on a leash, Missouri will finish second in the SEC East division.

The Bulldogs aren’t concerned with second place finishes, especially in the division. It will be interesting to monitor how much effort is displayed by Smart’s squad. Either way, Missouri (+13.5) covers here. The methodical and efficient approach on offense will be key for the Tigers. It will keep them in the game and possibly provide an opportunity to win outright. If Mizzou does pull the upset, that means this man is your 2020 SEC Coach of the Year: Drink it up.

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Other Picks

Wisconsin ML (-134) and the UNDER 41.5

The Badgers were catching points at the beginning of the week. Now, Wiscy is close to being a juicy favorite as they head to Iowa City.

The Badger defense remains one of the best in the nation. They have only given up 49 points in four games. The problem is they’ve scored just 13 in the past two.

Look for Wisconsin to bounce back in Kinnick Stadium. While the Hawkeyes’ offensive numbers look decent, the Badgers’ stout defense will hold them in check. Iowa’s struggle on third downs will be their downfall. The Hawkeyes convert just 35.48 percent of the time on the key down.

Snow is also rolling in and wind is expected to be around 15 MPH approaching kickoff (3:30 PM, EST). This is a great chance to double dip.

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