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College Football Picks and Predictions: Tricks and Treats Edition

College footballHalloween is upon us, and what better way to join the festivities than to stuff our bags-or pockets-with goodies from the college football betting market. This week we will hand out multiple picks to satisfy your gambling craving. Hopefully, we will keep the train rolling, as last week Indiana not only covered but won outright. Here at Fan Run, we will do our best to keep you away from spooky beats and ghostly lines.

 

Here are your treats for this weekend.

 

Minnesota/Maryland OVER 61

College Park, MD

7:30 PM, EST

 

This is a Friday night tilt that features two teams that need a bounce-back game in a major way. Minnesota lost to Michigan by 25, while Maryland got thumped by 40.

Terrapins’ quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa, brother of Tua, threw for just 94 yards against the Wildcats. The sophomore also surrendered 3 interceptions. It will take a lot more than a passer rating of 63.6 to get things done in the Big Ten. If Mike Locksley’s crew wants a springboard, here’s the chance. Minnesota lost seven starters from a year ago, four of which were drafted to the NFL. The Gophers were gashed by a Wolverines offense that was guided by a new quarterback. Minnesota gave up 8.59 yards per play.

Meanwhile, Maryland gave the green light to Northwestern as well. The Terrapin defense allowed 537 yards on 83 plays. That’s just what the doctor ordered for a Gopher unit struggling to find its identity sans Kirk Ciarrocca. Despite missing the offensive coordinator, Minnesota can still deploy Tanner Morgan, Rashod Bateman, and Mohamed Ibrahim.

Ibrahim was still able to rush for two scores and 140 yards in the loss to Michigan. The Maryland native looks to make this homecoming memorable as he is just under 100 rushing yards away from reaching 2,000 in his career. Look for the Gopher offense to keep things simple against a ghost-like defense. There are costumes for the Terps defensive units. They are simply bad. Many more outings such as last week and Locksley may need a disguise to get out of College Park. The Maryland coach is 4-16 with the Terrapins and 6-42 overall as a head coach.

All This Means …

Look for both offenses to see success in this game. The Gophers may run the ball a ton, but they will be successful in doing so. That will open up things for Morgan in the passing game. Maryland is bound to reach pay dirt on a couple of occasions. They have too much talent to only score three points against the likes of Northwestern. These two defenses will be handing out first downs like Reese’s. Also, running back Tayon Fleet-Davis is questionable.

Indiana at Rutgers (+11.5)

Piscataway, NJ

3:30 PM, EST

The name Greg Schiano is scary to some in college football for many reasons. While a Week 1 win against Michigan State is nothing to champion, the victory reveals that this Rutgers squad may see better fortune now that the coach is reunited with the Scarlett Knights. Before the upset win over the Spartans, Rutgers had gone winless in conference play for two straight years.

Double-digits is simply too many sweets to give to a Scarlett Knight group that is hungry to prove everyone wrong. As much as we love Indiana, they weren’t exactly explosive against a Nittany Lions team that gifted the Hoosiers an opportunity to tie and ultimately win the game.

Indiana mustered just 211 total yards against Penn State. Quarterback Michael Pennix will have to find ways to lead a more dynamic offense, especially when the run game is sitting at 50 yards on the day.

Rutgers didn’t fare much better in the offensive attack, as their unit  averaged 3.89 yards per play versus Michigan State. The Knight’s defense was better, though. Schiano’s defense allowed just 369 yards despite being on the field for 82 plays.

This is the game that will be tight. Indiana has the weapons to separate, but until offensive coordinator Nick Sheridan shows he can administrate the offense in a more appropriate way, the Hoosiers should never be a double-digit favorite in the conference. Even against lowly Rutgers.

Kansas State at West Virginia (-5)

Morgantown, WV

Noon, EST

Kansas State coach Chris Kleiman is off to a nice 12-6 start as Wildcats’ head coach. the former general for North Dakota State is fitting in just nicely in Manhattan, KS. State has rattled off 4 straight wins after dropping the opener to Arkansas State. Along the way, Kleiman has claimed victories over Lincoln Riley and Gary Patterson.

Kansas State has been successful by sticking to the fundamentals. They have taken care of the ball while playing all three phases of the game very well. The Wildcats have collected 10 turnovers while giving up just two. Their special teams unit is rated the best in the country (91.2) by Pro football Focus. They are certainly tough out. But West Virginia has the weapons to keep them at bay.

The Mountaineers are coming off a spooky loss against Texas Tech. A home game against a very beatable opponent is the treat they need.

Out of teams to play more than one game, West Virginia ranks the best in total defense. West Virginia is giving up just 261.8 yards per play. And aside from Eastern Kentucky, this Big 12 opponents we are talking about here!

On offense, the Mountaineers have a quarterback in Jarret Doege, who has passed for nearly 1400 yards. They also have a running back in Leddie Brown that has gashed defenses on 5.8 yards per carry.

There’s not one receiver hogging attention, as Doege is spreading the wealth. Five receivers are over 100 yards, with three tallying more than 190. Four of the quarterbacks targets have seen over 13 receptions. If they take care of the ball and hold on to it like it’s Payday, West Virginia will cash in their bags. The receiver group has 16 drops on the year.

Kanas State seems to like punching above their weight class and stealing others’ sweets. But on this Halloween, it’s the Mountaineers who will fend of the Wildcats and protect their holler with pride. Besides, no trick-or-treaters come to these parts of Morgantown, right?