Season record: 2-0
SUNY Buffalo (+24) vs. Minnesota – Thursday 7:00
Minnesota, meanwhile, has watched its spread in this game go from -27 to -24. Follow the smart money. Buffalo lost a ton off last year’s team – notably the most talented tight end in the draft Mason Schreck. But bettors have reservations about PJ Fleck’s ability to row the boat in the waters of a major conference.
Ohio State (-21) vs. Indiana – Thursday 8:00
Rare that I’ll jump in on a game like this. But who questions that Urban Myer’s team will be unprepared for this game? Proper valuation for this game should be near -28.
Colorado (-4.5) vs. Colorado State – Friday 8:00
If you’d have asked me the line on this game and I didn’t already know, I’d say Colorado by 7.5 easy. And that’s about right since the spread here started at 8. But after an easy 58 to 27 win last week, Colorado State is now valued highly. It’s not like Colorado State played poorly, but they basically had last week’s win handed to them by way of five turnovers.
Bowling Green (+17.5) @ Michigan State – Saturday 12:00
Michigan State returns 20 receptions in its wide receivers unit. Outside of one dude, they’ve got 15 combined offensive line starts. The quarterback threw 57 passes last year. Mark Dantonio teams are not known for being an offensive juggernaut and I see no reason they vastly improved over last year’s 3-9 season.
Temple (+18.5) @ Notre Dame – Saturday 3:30
Ok consider this for a second. Notre Dame’s win projection sits at 7.5 with 2.5 games as the underdog. That means ND should play nine or ten games as the favorite. They’re only supposed to win seven or eight… Temple, lost its head coach Matt Rhule. The school also lost most of its pass rush. But the points here are too much for a Brian Kelly Notre Dame team.
Louisville vs. Purdue OVER (68.0) – Saturday 7:30
These teams went over 16 out of 24 times last season. It’s also one of the highest totals on the board.
Tennessee (-3) vs. Georgia Tech – Monday 8:00
Go for it. Nothing to lose. Forget the emotional hedge play here. Tennessee performs well when given time to prepare (forget about South Carolina…) Georgia Tech is coached towards a system. Tennessee’s players are better and better coached, like it or not.